Handicapping the budget vote
Sunday, June 15, 2008 at 04:39PM
Larry Van Guilder in Knox County Commission

The Knox County Commission has committee meetings scheduled Monday and Tuesday before the entire body takes up the mayor's proposed budget on Wednesday. If last week's interminable and almost entirely pointless "review" of the proposed grants budget is any indication, many of us could be eligible for Social Security before a budget is passed.

It probably won't come to that, of course. From where I sit, Ragsdale is close if he doesn't already have the votes to pass his budget on first reading, warts and all. What follows is pure Kentucky windage. Nonetheless, if a binding vote was on tap today, here's my "handicapper:"

 % Probability of a "Yes" vote
Ballard 100
Hammond 100
Smith 100
Campen    90
Strickland   90
Wright   85
McKenzie   75
Norman   75
Rountree   70
Lambert   60
Briggs   50
Daniels   50
M. Harmon   50
Leuthold   25
Davis   20
Pinkston   15
DeFreese    0
I. Harmon    0
Moore    0 

Tally:

10 likely yes

6 likely no

3 ?

 

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